With the 100th anniversary of the official (but not the actual) end of what is now known as the First World War, the volume of the commemorations grows ever louder. Poppy mania grows too, threatening to become a consumer splurge of celebration rather than a discreet remembrance of the Urkatastrophe (the original catastrophe) of Europe’s 20th Century.
Without the WWI there would have been no such cataclysm of millions of dead and injured in the war itself, but also no Bolshevik Revolution (and consequent millions of deaths), no war-debt generated slump in the 1920s & 30s, no rise of fascism, no WWII (with consequent millions more deaths and injuries) and no Cold War.
How the 20th Century would have unfolded we can hardly guess at. No doubt there would have been other challenges but it’s hard to imagine any outcomes worse than those generated by the ‘Great War’.
In this posting, I want to mention a few of aspects of the war that have received little attention in the UK over the last few years of commemorating the war.
The discussion about the war in the UK has rather concentrated on criticising the allegedly undesirable effects of the role of the ‘war poets’ and ‘Oh What A Lovely War’ play/film in shaping modern attitudes to the slaughter in the fields of Flanders. Behind this theme lies the objective of many British military historians to challenge the dominant ‘lions led by donkeys’ narrative of the war.
A sub-theme of the hundredth anniversary in the UK has been whether Britain was right to engage in the war.
The strongest argument against that participation is the point made above – that the long-term outcome of the war was worse than any other conceivable course of events by not partaking.
The weakest argument against participation is that it was, one way or another, unavoidable. It is said about two neutral nations, the Netherlands and (until 1917) the United States, that while they weren’t interested in the war, the war was interested in them and, one way or another, were dragged into some form of participation.
It is difficult to escape two guesses as to what would have happened if Britain had stayed out of the war: first, that Germany would have won and become the dominant power in Europe and second, that dominance would have led to conflict between the would be imperial power (Germany grossly dissatisfied with its scattering of islands and handful of continental African possessions) and the existing imperial power (Britain with its global empire).
The outcome of the war would have been interested in Britain and it would have faced a much greater continental power than in 1914 and one in control of the continental Channel ports thus threatening Britain’s naval hegemony.
Historians still debate whether the German invasion of neutral Belgium was the real cause of the British government’s decision to partake in the war or whether that was a suitable justification for a war effort primarily aimed at defence (and eventually expansion) of empire.
I will only say that there is substantial evidence that the British government seriously considered invading neutral Netherlands to gain control of Rotterdam and its entrepôt port through which German trade predominantly flowed.
For balance it should be said that Germany too considered invading the Netherlands (it could easily have swatted the small Dutch armed forces). In the end both Britain and Germany decided that a neutral Netherlands was more useful to them than a conquered one.
But the point remains that Britain’s righteousness over Belgian neutrality was convenient. Britain certainly bullied neutral Netherlands into helping the British Royal Navy enforce its trade blockade of its foe.
Another point that needs to be made for British audiences is that the First World War was indeed a world war and not one restricted to the trenches of north-west Europe (and with a nod to the Dardanelles). There was ground fighting in Eastern Europe, the Balkans, Turkey, the Middle East, Africa and Asia. The fighting continued after 11/11/1918 in Eastern Europe and the Balkans as well as Russia until depending on your definition, to at least 1923. (And at the other end there is actually a case for arguing that the war actually started in 1911 with the Italian invasion of North Africa).
But, if we stick with the traditional timescale, the war had its immediate cause in the Balkans in July 1914 and the first battles were fought in Serbia. In British historiography it is all too easy to overlook that the war on the eastern front was as important as the brutal struggle in the trenches. The Austro-Hungarian Empire and the Russian Empire effectively never really recovered from the defeats they suffered in, respectively, Galicia and East Prussia in 1914. But both empires stumbled on until 1917/18.
The British myopic focus on the trenches of Flanders prevents us from developing a proper understanding of the global nature of the war.
Another little known aspect of the war is the German sabotage campaign in America (and on its Atlantic trade) in the sinking of scores of ships (by placing delayed effect fire bombs in their cargo holds) and blowing up American port facilities culminating in the massive ‘Black Tom’ explosions. Even less well known are the, fortuitously, botched attempts to use biological weapons to kill horses in America (and on the border between neutral Spain and Portugal).
The story is little known for two reasons: first, it took time for the US to realise what was going on and to blame Germany and second, because Woodrow Wilson was desperate to keep the US out of Europe’s imperial war and thus didn’t want to have to confront Germany over its sabotage activities and thus risk conflict.
As is well known, America declared its neutrality, but Germany saw an asymmetric neutrality that allowed the US to grow rich by exporting food and military supplies to Britain and its Allies, while saying it would happily export food and munitions to Germany and the Central Powers. But, this was an empty offer, as Germany couldn’t get at those supplies because of the British naval blockade.
This led, as is also well known, to Germany in January 1917 declaring ‘unrestricted submarine warfare’ with subsequent sinking of American merchant ships. This in turn brought the US into the war (aided by the revelations of the famous Zimmermann Telegram proposing to bring Mexico into armed conflict with the US, see: The Zimmermann Telegram).
What is less well known is that this is really a rather too pat a narrative. Woodrow Wilson in 1916 became increasingly frustrated with Britain and the Allies for not going along with his peace initiatives, while Germany at least gave the impression of going along with them even though it was actually planning intensification of the war through the use of unrestricted submarine warfare.
This conflict between Britain and the US came to a head just before Germany made its fatal mistake by declaring the submarine offensive. Wilson by the end of 1916 tried to stop private loans (arranged through the J P Morgan banking empire) to Britain just as it was running out of assets to sell. If the loans had dried up Britain would no longer have been able to pay for its war with Germany. And as the loans to Britain were used in part to lend on to France and Russia, German victory would have been all but inevitable.
But Germany did not know this as it lacked the Intelligence Service capability of acquiring this level of information in the US, concentrating its efforts instead on its angry response to the perceived asymmetric neutrality of the US with its sabotage and submarine operations.
As is well known, despite the defeat of Russia between March and October 1917, the entry of the US into the war in April 1917, effectively ended Germany’s chances of fending off defeat by introducing the potential for large numbers of fresh, new troops to the Allied side. However, again there are some less well-known aspects to this apparently simple narrative.
First, American troops did not actually arrive until the British (and Empire) and French troops had already effectively militarily defeated the German armies. The entry of America affected the German troops’ morale more than the material.
Second, Germany’s military dictatorship’s greed squandered the benefits of Russia’s defeat, as formalised in the Treaty of Brest Litovsk. The German military decided to occupy and pacify large sections of Russia for their economic and agricultural provisions. But this required a large occupying force. In turn this meant that the number of troops that could be released from the eastern front for the March 1918 ‘Kaiserschlacht’ (‘Kaiser’s battle’, but really Ludendorff’s) offensive on the western front was inadequate to gain victory.
Defeat in that offensive was the other factor that ineluctably destroyed the morale of the German armies and led, from August 1918, to the successful Allied advances towards (but not into) Germany and the armistice.
Another little talked about aspect of the war is that the British Empire that came about as a result of the war reached its greatest extent ever, having acquired German Empire’s territory in Africa and the Pacific and the Ottoman Empire’s territories in the Middle East. But even at its zenith, the British Empire was beginning its decline. Having achieved the great imperial dream of having territory all the way from the Cape to India and beyond, the Empire had over-reached.
Partly this was because of the way the war undermined the acquiescence of Empire’s subjects who saw their European masters in a new light and many of whom had been engaged to fight in the European’s wars (especially, but far from exclusively, in the Middle East).
Historian Guoqi Xu wrote in 2014, “China, India and, to a certain extent, Vietnam, in 1918 were fundamentally different from the way they had been in 1914 – socially, intellectually, culturally and ideologically. The sea changes that had taken place occurred to a great extent because of war experiences and broad dissatisfaction with Paris Peace Conference. The war also served as a turning point in Japanese history.”
But the dramatic change in the position of the European empires was also partly about power and finance. Despite being one of the winning side of the war, Britain’s global position was fundamentally changed. At the start of the war, Britain was the world’s greatest financial, communications and shipping power as well as a leading economy. In 1914, it could realistically expect to be able to use that power to strangle Germany. But over the course of the war that power was increasingly transferred to the United States.
Writing in 2014 American historian Richard Striner quotes Woodrow Wilson from 21/7/1917: “England and France have not the same views with regard to peace that we have by any means. When the war is over we can force them to our way of thinking, because by that time they will, among other things, be financially in our hands.”
Arthur S Link (one of Woodrow Wilson’s biographers), writing in the 1970s, observed that “British gold and other reserves would be utterly exhausted by April 1917; after that date, a [British] Treasury official said, Great Britain and the Allies would be at the mercy of the President of the United States. Wilson probably did not know the precise details. But he did know that he had the power to absolutely coerce the Allies.”
As I am writing this blog posting (3/11/2018), the BBC News is reporting that Donald Trump, the US President, is imposing tight sanctions on Iran and intends to use American control of the global financial system to force third parties, such as European companies, to conform to the sanctions. It will, the President said, prevent international payments to and from Iran by its control of the global payments transfer network, Swift.
One hundred years on from the end of the First World War, if anyone needs any sense of the way Europe’s nations lost their sovereignty between 1914 and 1918, today’s news provides a good example.
It is directly relevant to this to discuss one other very little known aspect of that war, namely the Allied Maritime Transport Council. Formed in 1917, according to economic historian, Adam Tooze, writing in 2014, the Council “based in London, was made up or representatives of all the combatant governments, headed by Britain and France. Though each delegate owed primary loyalty to his national government, they collectively constituted a inter-governmental authority capable of making decisions affecting the lives of literally every inhabitant of Europe, whether civilian or solder. Given the extremity of their situation, by early 1918 it was the Entente Powers, not Wilson, who were exploring radical new forms of cooperation and coordination.”
This included joint economic decision-making, a joint military Supreme War Council and the Allied Maritime Transport Council. “British and French rations were weighed against each other in common purchasing and shipping plans. … In 1918, if Belgium continued to be fed, it was not only on account of Hoover’s organizational genius, or America’s largesse, but because the inter-Allied shipping Agency placed the priority of American relief shipments even above the needs of the home fronts of France, Britain and Italy.”
Among the governmental delegates was the French minister, Jean Monnet, better known for his involvement in post-WWII inter-governmental institutions that led to the creation of the European Economic Community. Lessons about national sovereignty have been learnt the hard way in Europe – although not if Brexit goes ahead in Britain.
A final little known aspect of the war. After the Armistice, Belgium made territorial claims on neutral Netherlands on various spurious grounds, such as the Dutch government allowing some German troops after the Armistice to return to Germany on foot through Dutch territory. The major powers, fortunately, disregarded the Belgian claims. But it is sobering to think that, even after all the sorrow, misery, hunger death and injuries of the war, land-grabbing remained a key concern in many countries – even ones which today enjoy very close relations. Elsewhere, especially in Eastern Europe, the carve up of former enemy territories prolonged the fighting with consequences we can still see today.
Intergovernmental cooperation is surely the most important product of the First World War, even if it took another, even more disastrous war from 1939 to 1945, to realise that lesson.
As we commemorate the ‘peace’ of 1918, let us not lose sight of important lessons that can be learnt from the lesser-known aspects of the Urkatastrophe as well as the major events that dominate the narratives.
The full story of Codebreaking in the First World War see
Paul Gannon: Before Bletchley Park: The Codebreakers of the First World War











